1D • NASDAQ
11 Jul, 09:40 am
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When you think of Costco, you probably picture a giant warehouse with a $1.50 hot dog and aisles of bulk goods. But the real business model isn't there — it's in the membership fee.
This is the key to understanding Costco: merchandise sales are deliberately sold at razor-thin margins — sometimes barely above cost — to guarantee members always get the lowest shelf price versus competitors. The real profit engine is the annual membership fee ($130/year for Gold Star, more for Executive) that members pay every year just for the right to shop. With historical renewal rates above 90%, this gives Costco an unusually stable, recurring revenue stream — almost subscription-like in its predictability.
Costco has just rolled out an Executive Member tier upgrade — including a $10/month digital credit test and a 2% cashback push. Why now? Early signs point to renewal softness among newer digital/promotional sign-ups, who renew at slightly lower rates than legacy members. This isn't a crisis yet, but it's a trend worth watching over the next 2-3 quarters.
At the same time, management confirmed core-on-core margins were down ~9 basis points — a deliberate trade-off: investing in lower prices for members to defend traffic and long-term growth, even at some near-term profitability cost.
Costco continues expanding its e-commerce platform and international footprint — particularly China and Japan — as additional growth vectors alongside steady US warehouse count growth.
Current CEO Ron Vachris (CEO & President since January 2024) has a 40+ year career at Costco — starting as a forklift driver at Price Club in 1982. This is classic Costco pattern: promote from within, never hire an outside CEO. It signals strong cultural continuity.
Costco is NOT considered Shariah-compliant by most screens (Zoya, Musaffa) — flagged for (1) alcohol and pork product sales within the Foods/Sundries and Fresh Foods segments, and (2) non-operating interest income exceeding tolerance thresholds. Note: Muslim Xchange listed COST as compliant as of Nov 2025 — assessments diverge by methodology. mahersaham.com applies the conservative majority view (AAOIFI-based Zoya/Musaffa) and maintains a NOT Shariah-compliant status for this stock.
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How to Get Gold Access| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $95.72B, up 11.1% y/y |
| EPS | $6.75 (consensus $6.55) |
| Comparable sales | +9.4% (6.7% ex gas/FX) |
| Digital sales | +19.5% |
| FY2026 revenue | $303.15B, up 10.1% |
| FY2026 GAAP EPS | $20.76 |
Revenue beat the roughly $94.85B consensus. Growth is broad-based rather than driven by a single line.
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How to Get Gold AccessCostco pays a small regular dividend (yield well under 1%) and has historically paid special dividends when cash builds. It is not an income stock.
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How to Get Gold AccessGet in-depth analysis, target prices, and investment recommendations with Gold Members subscription.
How to Get Gold AccessGet in-depth analysis, target prices, and investment recommendations with Gold Members subscription.
How to Get Gold AccessGet in-depth analysis, target prices, and investment recommendations with Gold Members subscription.
How to Get Gold AccessGet in-depth analysis, target prices, and investment recommendations with Gold Members subscription.
How to Get Gold AccessGet in-depth analysis, target prices, and investment recommendations with Gold Members subscription.
How to Get Gold AccessOther stocks in the Consumer Defensive sector